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摘要:The price of gold fell over 1.2 percent on Tuesday on the back of a strengthening dollar and rising US Treasury yields.
The price of gold fell over 1.2 percent on Tuesday on the back of a strengthening dollar and rising US Treasury yields.
The yellow metal tends to underperform when the dollar is rising simply from the way that it is priced. Because most gold is quoted in dollars, a strong dollar means that gold has to fall to adjust to the higher overall value.
Strangely enough, gold didnt follow the price of silver, which jumped 10% on Monday, but has been impacted after silver reversed course today and has been weighing on the price of gold as both metals tend to be driven by similar factors.
Traders need to watch out for the U.S. dollar in the coming sessions as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) has reversed course and is showing signs of life again, setting up the scene for a play against the value of gold. That being said, gold boasts a lot of support towards the 1,800 marks. Should prices move below the 1,800 however, gold may slide rapidly towards the 1,780 level.
On the upside, the 20-day EMA would constitute the immediate resistance level. If gold prices manage to close above it, it opens up the possibility that gold could move towards the 1,900 level, or more likely the 1,880 level.
(Chart Source: Tradingview 02.02.2021)
In the meantime, gold should continue to trade in a consolidation pattern with a slight bearish bias as the covid-19 vaccine rollout figures slowly begin to rise. As a side note, it would be worthwhile to keep an eye on the wallstreetbets reddit forum for any plans they might have for gold.
Disclaimer: This material has been created for information purposes only. All views expressed in this document are my own and do not necessarily represent the opinions of any entity.
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本文观点仅代表作者个人观点,不构成本平台的投资建议,本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性作出任何保证,亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任
昨晚商品大幅上涨,原因是美联储6月加息预期大幅回落,ADP数据再度大超预期,反映出目前就业市场依然偏强运行。
市场目前预计,美联储6月维持利率不变的可能性不到40%。如果在今年晚些时候(美联储)采取更温和的态度,这意味着可能会出现一定程度的利率放松,将被视为利好股市,同时也会降低投资者持有黄金的意愿。
上周金价震荡回落,美国两党接近谈妥债务上限,打压避险情绪。
昨天黄金窄幅震荡,有消息称新一轮美国债务上限谈判结束时没有取得多少进展,市场避险情绪升温,美债收益率也从逾两个月高点小幅回落,给金价提供反弹机会。