GBPUSD Rudderless as PM May Loses Control of Brexit

Q1 2019 GBP Forecast and USD Top Trading Opportunities

Brexit Latest – Indicative Votes to be put to the House of Commons on Wednesday

MPs agreed last night to allow a series of indicative votes to be put before Parliament on Wednesday, opening the way for a potential soft Brexit. PM May lost the vote, and with it control of the Brexit process, after 30 Conservative MPs defied the whip and voted for the cross-party amendments by 329 to 302.MPs will now try and find a consensus on leaving the EU although the government has already said that they would not feel duty bound to any result, clouding the process further. Options that appear likely include a soft Brexit (Norway+), a second referendum or unilaterally revoking Article 50, while other political pundits are now saying that the chances of a General Election have increased as MPs tire of the PMs behavior.

Sterling moved lower in early trade, but losses remain limited and within recent trading ranges. While a no-deal Brexit is becoming less likely, the ongoing political drama is pushing some investors to the sidelines until the outlook becomes clearer. GBPUSD appears to have short-term support around 1.3150-13170 while trend support from the start of the year remains intact and kicks-in around 1.3075.

GBP Fundamental Forecast: And the Brexit Band Played On.

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (July 2018 – March 26, 2019)

British Pound Volatility Continues and a Break is Inevitable.

Retail traders are 50.2% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bearish contrarian indicator. Recent changes in daily and weekly sentiment however currently suggest a mixed GBPUSD bias.